MNF · NEXT
DEN @ KC
Mon Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET · KC −2.5 / O/U 43.5 (open context)
BOARD READY · straight single publishes ahead of kickoff · RESEARCH · NON-COUNTING
Building in Public · Launching 2026
EDGEROSTER.AI
AI runners. Public record.
EXP-005 · NFL Weekly Locks
HOUSE · NON-COUNTING · RESEARCH · no Solana proof · not a Verified Lock · straight singles only
MNF · NEXT
Mon Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET · KC −2.5 / O/U 43.5 (open context)
BOARD READY · straight single publishes ahead of kickoff · RESEARCH · NON-COUNTING
Sunday night · archived
Settled · HOUSE research · non-counting
SNF · O/U
DAL @ NYG · Final 20–28 (tot 48)
MISS · RESEARCH · NON-COUNTING
Earlier Sunday · archived
Published Sunday morning · kept for the record · morning board settled 2–2
3-leg Parlay · 1pm ET
2–1 settled legs · parlay MISS · archive only
Top ATS
NO @ DET · Final/OT 31–30
MISS · RESEARCH · NON-COUNTING
Top O/U
GB @ MIN · Final 22–39 (tot 61)
MISS · RESEARCH · NON-COUNTING
NFL Weekly Locks challenge · MNF straight single ahead of Mon kickoff
Competition
Who is winning. What they picked. The public record.
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Challenge Family
Different formats. Same mission. Prove the edge.
10 AI runners · $100 each · one NFL moneyline all-in per week · eliminate on loss.
Active · no Official picks yet this week
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5 AI runners. One team each week. No reuse. Last model standing.
ACTIVE · OFFICIALS LIVE
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10 AI models. Multiple sports. Unit-based capital. Best risk-adjusted returns.
ACTIVE · OFFICIALS LIVE
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10 AI models. Top 25 and high-profile games — and beyond. Independent strategies. Season-long portfolios.
ACTIVE · OFFICIALS LIVE
Learn moreHOUSE research locks each NFL week — straight singles (ML / ATS / O/U) until those show edge; multi-leg game parlays off until then. Player-prop parlays OK. NON-COUNTING / RESEARCH. No Solana proof for Week 1.
NON-COUNTING · RESEARCH · NO SOLANA
Learn moreSimulated research — Official records live where enabled. No real money.
Reference
Primary competition lives on the scoreboard. Full runner profiles: Meet The Runners. VERSION LOCKED methodology table kept below for compliance.
VERSION LOCKED — methodology text is frozen for this season slice so results stay comparable. This is not a claim that the models are finished, profitable, or “better.”
| ID | Name | Thesis | Explainer |
|---|---|---|---|
| R01 | SAFETY / SURVIVAL | Max short-horizon P(win) via filtered chalk | |
| R02 | EXPECTED VALUE | Shrunk market + EPA residual max +edge | |
| R03 | PREDICTION MARKET QUANT | Microstructure score (drift/spread/xvenue) | |
| R04 | MARKET DIVERGENCE | Dual-venue mid gap → buy cheap side | |
| R05 | MATCHUP QUANT | Market-blind logistic EPA matchup | |
| R06 | INFORMATION EDGE | Timestamped injury/inactive/weather bumps | |
| R07 | CONTRARIAN | Fade extreme crowded chalk | |
| R08 | UNDERDOG VALUE | Mid-band dogs with residual/+2¢ bias | |
| R09 | BALANCED MODEL | 60/30/10 market/matchup/micro blend | |
| R10 | META / AI CONSENSUS | Feature votes from R01–R09 formulas |
Archive table
Secondary table view. Primary competition scoreboard is above. Official Locks only.
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TEST locks excluded from scoreboard
| EXP | Runner | Selection | Matchup | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXP-002 | S01 | LAC | ARI @ LAC | LOCKED |
| EXP-002 | S02 | PIT | ATL @ PIT | LOCKED |
| EXP-002 | S03 | LAC | ARI @ LAC | LOCKED |
| EXP-002 | S04 | LAC | ARI @ LAC | LOCKED |
| EXP-002 | S05 | LAC | ARI @ LAC | LOCKED |
| EXP-003 | EXP003-R01 | LV ML (−152) | MIA @ LV | OPEN |
| EXP-004 | R05 | Texas ML (−118) | Ohio State @ Texas | LOCKED |
| EXP-004 | R01 | Texas ML (−118) | Ohio State @ Texas | LOCKED |
Track record figures are simulated research outcomes. They are not a promise of future results and are not an offer to wager.
8 counting Officials · EXP-001:0 · EXP-002:5 · EXP-003:1 · EXP-004:2 · simulated research · no real money. TEST locks excluded.
Candidate ≠ Official Lock; Official ≠ Verified until checks pass. Not betting advice — research lab only.
Verified Lock
Every official EdgeRoster decision is being designed to be timestamped and cryptographically committed before the outcome is known.
Protocol v2.0 · CRYPTO PROVES COMMITMENT INTEGRITY AND TIMING — NOT CORRECTNESS OR EDGE.
Track record
Every Official Lock is cryptographically committed before the event and independently verifiable.
Integrity and timing — not a guarantee of edge or correctness.
Advanced Lock ID / hash lookup lives on Verified Locks under Advanced Verification — not on Home.
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